Evaluation of the Ability to Predict Subsequent Metastasis of Early Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using PET Radiomics Machine Learning Models.

Background/Objectives: Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) carries a risk of late metastasis not only in advanced stages but also in early stages. In this study, we built and tested radiomics-based machine learning (ML) models for predicting the risk of metastasis from early OSCC on 18F-FDG positron emission tomography (PET). Methods: Patients diagnosed with T1 or T2 squamous cell carcinoma who underwent a preoperative 18F-FDG PET-CT examination at a single institution between 2016 and December 2022 were included in this retrospective study. The presence or absence of late cervical lymph node metastasis was confirmed for all patients. Among the radiomics features extracted from the images, we selected those that were useful for predicting late metastasis and used them to create ML models. We then verified the prediction accuracy of the models. Results: A total of 109 subjects were included, of which 31 had late lymph node metastasis and 78 were without metastasis. The most accurate ML model created using radiomics features selected from the subject cases had an area under the curve of 0.977 and accuracy of 87.5%. Conclusions: We confirmed that ML models using radiomics features extracted from PET images can be useful for predicting late metastasis in patients with early-stage OSCC.