COVID-19 pandemic disruptions drive decreases in HPV prevalence and shift genotype distribution in Western China.
Yulin Liu, Yu Xiang, Yaoping Liu, Huan Deng, Fengyu Zhang, Yongjie Liu, Xiaonan Huang
Abstract
Open AccessOBJECTIVE: This population-based study investigated longitudinal changes in the prevalence and genotype distribution of HPV across the pre-pandemic (2017-2019), pandemic (2020-2022), and post-pandemic (2023-2024) periods in Western China. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 129,585 women, stratified into three chronological cohorts: pre-pandemic (n=40,044), pandemic (n=43,717), and post-pandemic (n=45,824) cohorts. Cervicovaginal specimens were analyzed via real-time PCR-based genotyping to detect 16 high-risk and 7 low-risk genotypes. Age-specific prevalence patterns were evaluated across six demographic strata (<20 to ≥60 years). Age-standardized prevalence rates were calculated using 2020 Chinese census data as a reference population. RESULTS: The total HPV prevalence decreased from 31.59% before the pandemic to 23.28% during the pandemic, stabilizing at 21.45% after the pandemic. Nonvaccine-targeted HR-HPV subtypes (HPV-52, HPV-58) maintained persistent dominance across all phases, with the prevalence of HPV-52 decreasing from 6.00% before the pandemic to 3.00% after the pandemic. Adolescents (<20 years) presented the lowest infection rates, whereas peak rates were reported for women aged 40-49 years. CONCLUSIONS: The sustained reduction in total HPV prevalence is potentially associated with pandemic-related behavioral modifications and healthcare disruptions. The persistent circulation of nonvaccine-targeted subtypes highlights gaps in current prevention strategies. These findings emphasize the need for comprehensive surveillance integrating catch-up screening and genotype-specific vaccine development to address post-pandemic HPV transmission dynamics.