Age-specific clinical performance of HPV-based vs. cytology-based cervical cancer screening in China.
Jian Yin, Shaokai Zhang, Sumeng Wang, Zhifang Li, Xun Zhang, Qinjing Pan, Wen Chen, Xiping Luo, Xiaodong Cheng, Beihua Kong, Xibin Sun, Fanghui Zhao, Youlin Qiao
Abstract
Open AccessCervical cancer remains a significant health burden, and effective screening is essential, yet the age-specific performance of HPV primary screening is rarely studied. This multicenter study evaluates age-specific performance of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing as cross-sectional and longitudinal screening for cervical cancer among 28,501 Chinese women. At baseline, HPV screening with cytology triage demonstrates higher sensitivity (96.9% vs. 79.7%) but slightly lower specificity (88.8% vs. 92.7%) than cytology with HPV triage for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+). HPV sensitivities remain high across age groups (≤35: 100.0%; 36-45: 96.4%; >45: 96.8%), consistently exceeding the corresponding cytology sensitivities (66.7%, 75.7%, and 84.9%). Over a three-year follow-up, HPV screening maintains superior sensitivity (93.1% vs. 58.1%) and slightly lower specificity (89.6% vs. 92.4%) compared with cytology. Age-stratified analyses in the longitudinal setting reveal trends similar to those observed in the cross-sectional analyses. Women positive for HPV16/18 have a 43.0% three-year risk of CIN2+, compared with 0.2% for HPV-negative women. These findings support the durable protection of HPV-based screening and the feasibility of extending screening intervals.